AARON ENGLAND, Ph.D.

NFL Weekly Picks

These predictions were generated using my game_predictions model. The model uses the scores of previous games in the current season to simulate matchups and determine predicted points for each team and the probability of the home team winning. Model hyperparameters are tuned using the tune_nfl_hyperparameters function and games for the upcoming week are subsequently simulated using the simulate_current_nfl_week function from the nfl_predictions library (readily available and hosted on my Github).

Week Home Away Home Points Away Points Home Win Probability Winning Team
15 Baltimore Ravens New York Jets 26.659 17.604 0.847 Baltimore Ravens
15 Green Bay Packers Chicago Bears 16.205 21.844 0.249 Chicago Bears
15 Carolina Panthers Seattle Seahawks 22.286 25.052 0.372 Seattle Seahawks
15 Washington Redskins Philadelphia Eagles 19.791 19.509 0.512 Washington Redskins
15 Cincinnati Bengals New England Patriots 24.703 19.895 0.692 Cincinnati Bengals
15 New York Giants Miami Dolphins 23.076 24.409 0.429 Miami Dolphins
15 Tennessee Titans Houston Texans 31.749 20.720 0.862 Tennessee Titans
15 Detroit Lions Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21.322 27.393 0.236 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
15 Kansas City Chiefs Denver Broncos 26.501 20.753 0.749 Kansas City Chiefs
15 Los Angeles Chargers Minnesota Vikings 27.244 23.831 0.711 Los Angeles Chargers
15 Oakland Raiders Jacksonville Jaguars 22.926 26.981 0.296 Jacksonville Jaguars
15 Arizona Cardinals Cleveland Browns 18.373 21.956 0.292 Cleveland Browns
15 San Francisco 49ers Atlanta Falcons 26.583 25.650 0.541 San Francisco 49ers
15 Dallas Cowboys Los Angeles Rams 19.106 20.174 0.448 Los Angeles Rams
15 Pittsburgh Steelers Buffalo Bills 16.929 19.122 0.349 Buffalo Bills
15 New Orleans Saints Indianapolis Colts 31.109 28.444 0.575 New Orleans Saints


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